Prediction Model for Mortality in Patients with Rib Fractures Based on ICU Timeline

Student

Qixian Zhao

Advisor

Christopher Tignanelli

Abstract

Rib fractures are sustained by nearly 15% of patients who experience trauma and are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. And rib fractures could cause a series of comorbidities, patients with serious rib fractures are sent to the intensive care unit (ICU). The time that patients sent to ICU may be very important and could have some effect on mortality. The goal of this project is to find out the relationship between ICU treatment within 24 hours and mortality. In other words, whether sending a patient to ICU within 24 hours could decrease the mortality rate or not. A cohort analysis was applied to figure out the relationship between ICU time and mortality. Based on propensity score matching results, the estimated effect of ICU within 24 hours on mortality was -0.28, indicating that the average effect of the treatment, ICU within 24 hours, could decrease mortality.

Video

Prediction Model for Mortality in Patients with Rib Fractures Based on ICU Timeline